{"id":382022,"date":"2026-06-02T14:32:14","date_gmt":"2026-06-02T14:32:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/afrikmag.com\/var\/www\/vhosts\/afrikmag.compublic_html\/?p=382022"},"modified":"2026-06-03T08:54:21","modified_gmt":"2026-06-03T08:54:21","slug":"ethiopie-election-2026-abiy-ahmed-nouveau-mandat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/afrikmag.com\/var\/www\/vhosts\/afrikmag.compublic_html\/ethiopie-election-2026-abiy-ahmed-nouveau-mandat\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c9thiopie : Abiy Ahmed favori apr\u00e8s un vote sous tension"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>L\u2019\u00c9thiopie a vot\u00e9 lundi 1er juin 2026 dans un climat politique et s\u00e9curitaire tendu. Le scrutin, qui doit renouveler les membres de la Chambre des repr\u00e9sentants et des conseils r\u00e9gionaux, est largement attendu comme une \u00e9tape vers un nouveau mandat pour le Premier ministre Abiy Ahmed.<\/p>\n<p>Dans ce pays de plus de 130 millions d\u2019habitants, le vote se d\u00e9roule dans un contexte lourd. Les tensions restent fortes dans plusieurs r\u00e9gions, notamment en Oromia et en Amhara, o\u00f9 des incidents de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 ont perturb\u00e9 l\u2019ouverture ou le d\u00e9roulement du scrutin dans certains bureaux.<\/p>\n<p>La commission \u00e9lectorale a indiqu\u00e9 que des incidents avaient \u00e9t\u00e9 signal\u00e9s dans ces deux r\u00e9gions instables. Dans certains centres, le vote a pu reprendre. Dans d\u2019autres, il n\u2019a pas pu avoir lieu normalement. Selon les premi\u00e8res indications disponibles, 143 bureaux de vote n\u2019ont pas pu fonctionner comme pr\u00e9vu, tandis que des dizaines de milliers d\u2019autres ont ouvert \u00e0 travers le pays.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c0 Addis-Abeba, une forte pr\u00e9sence militaire a \u00e9t\u00e9 observ\u00e9e autour de la journ\u00e9e \u00e9lectorale. La capitale, qui abrite aussi le si\u00e8ge de l\u2019Union africaine, reste un symbole politique majeur pour le pays et pour le continent. Les autorit\u00e9s insistent sur la n\u00e9cessit\u00e9 d\u2019un vote calme, mais l\u2019opposition et plusieurs observateurs s\u2019inqui\u00e8tent de l\u2019impact de l\u2019ins\u00e9curit\u00e9 sur la participation et la cr\u00e9dibilit\u00e9 du scrutin.<\/p>\n<h2>Un vote d\u00e9cisif pour Abiy Ahmed<\/h2>\n<p>Le parti Prosperity, au pouvoir, part favori. Il domine d\u00e9j\u00e0 tr\u00e8s largement la vie politique \u00e9thiopienne et devrait conserver la majorit\u00e9 des si\u00e8ges \u00e0 la Chambre des repr\u00e9sentants. En \u00c9thiopie, les \u00e9lecteurs choisissent leurs repr\u00e9sentants, puis le Parlement d\u00e9signe le Premier ministre. Une victoire du parti au pouvoir ouvrirait donc la voie \u00e0 un nouveau mandat de cinq ans pour Abiy Ahmed.<\/p>\n<p>Arriv\u00e9 au pouvoir en 2018, Abiy Ahmed avait d\u2019abord \u00e9t\u00e9 pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 comme un dirigeant r\u00e9formateur. Son prix Nobel de la paix, obtenu en 2019 apr\u00e8s le rapprochement avec l\u2019\u00c9rythr\u00e9e, avait renforc\u00e9 cette image. Mais les ann\u00e9es suivantes ont \u00e9t\u00e9 marqu\u00e9es par de graves crises internes, notamment la guerre au Tigr\u00e9, les violences en Oromia, les tensions en Amhara et les critiques contre le r\u00e9tr\u00e9cissement de l\u2019espace politique.<\/p>\n<p>Ce scrutin est donc plus qu\u2019un simple rendez-vous \u00e9lectoral. Il intervient dans un pays qui cherche encore \u00e0 se stabiliser apr\u00e8s plusieurs conflits, avec une opposition fragment\u00e9e et une partie de la population confront\u00e9e aux d\u00e9placements, aux difficult\u00e9s \u00e9conomiques et \u00e0 l\u2019ins\u00e9curit\u00e9.<\/p>\n<h2>Entre stabilit\u00e9 et inqui\u00e9tudes<\/h2>\n<p>Le gouvernement met en avant la continuit\u00e9, le d\u00e9veloppement et la n\u00e9cessit\u00e9 de maintenir l\u2019ordre. Pour les partisans du Premier ministre, le pays a besoin d\u2019un pouvoir fort pour poursuivre les grands projets \u00e9conomiques, renforcer les infrastructures et \u00e9viter une fragmentation plus profonde.<\/p>\n<p>Mais pour les critiques du pouvoir, le scrutin risque surtout de confirmer un rapport de force d\u00e9j\u00e0 d\u00e9s\u00e9quilibr\u00e9. L\u2019ins\u00e9curit\u00e9 dans certaines r\u00e9gions, la faiblesse de l\u2019opposition et la domination du parti au pouvoir nourrissent les doutes sur le niveau r\u00e9el de comp\u00e9tition politique.<\/p>\n<p>L\u2019enjeu d\u00e9passe les fronti\u00e8res \u00e9thiopiennes. Deuxi\u00e8me pays le plus peupl\u00e9 d\u2019Afrique, l\u2019\u00c9thiopie joue un r\u00f4le central dans la Corne de l\u2019Afrique. Sa stabilit\u00e9 p\u00e8se sur les \u00e9quilibres r\u00e9gionaux, les relations avec ses voisins, les questions migratoires et la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 dans une zone d\u00e9j\u00e0 fragile.<\/p>\n<p>Les r\u00e9sultats d\u00e9finitifs devront confirmer l\u2019ampleur de la victoire attendue du parti au pouvoir. Mais, quelle que soit l\u2019issue officielle, le nouveau cycle politique s\u2019ouvrira avec une question centrale: Abiy Ahmed pourra-t-il restaurer la confiance dans un pays encore travers\u00e9 par les divisions et les violences?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Les \u00c9thiopiens ont vot\u00e9 le 1er juin 2026 dans un climat s\u00e9curitaire fragile, avec Abiy Ahmed et le parti Prosperity favoris.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":46,"featured_media":382023,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[189118,47,195177,197],"tags":[159574,13299,204215,4931,753,204214,204213],"class_list":["post-382022","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-a-la-une","category-afrique","category-ethiopie","category-politique","tag-abiy-ahmed","tag-addis-abeba","tag-amhara","tag-elections","tag-ethiopie","tag-oromia","tag-prosperity-party"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>\u00c9thiopie : Abiy Ahmed vers un nouveau mandat<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u00c9lection en \u00c9thiopie : Abiy Ahmed et le parti Prosperity partent favoris apr\u00e8s un vote marqu\u00e9 par les tensions en Oromia et en Amhara.\" \/>\n<meta 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