{"id":199688,"date":"2020-04-16T10:59:26","date_gmt":"2020-04-16T10:59:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/afrikmag.com\/var\/www\/vhosts\/afrikmag.compublic_html\/?p=199688"},"modified":"2020-04-16T10:59:33","modified_gmt":"2020-04-16T10:59:33","slug":"covid-19-la-distanciation-sociale-pourrait-setendre-jusquen-2022-selon-des-chercheurs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/afrikmag.com\/var\/www\/vhosts\/afrikmag.compublic_html\/covid-19-la-distanciation-sociale-pourrait-setendre-jusquen-2022-selon-des-chercheurs\/","title":{"rendered":"Covid-19: \u00ab\u00a0la distanciation sociale pourrait s’\u00e9tendre jusqu’en 2022\u00a0\u00bb selon des chercheurs"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Selon une nouvelle projection de chercheurs du Harvard T.H., l’\u00e9cole de sant\u00e9 publique de Chan, aux \u00c9tats-Unis, on devra peut-\u00eatre maintenir les ordonnances de confinement, les fermetures de stades et de centres d’\u00e9v\u00e9nements et les fermetures d’\u00e9coles jusqu’en 2022, sauf si un vaccin contre le coronavirus est rapidement disponible.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dans une \u00e9tude\u00a0publi\u00e9e le 14 avril\u00a0par la revue Science, des chercheurs d’Harvard estiment que plusieurs p\u00e9riodes de distanciation sociale seront sans doute\u00a0n\u00e9cessaires jusqu’en 2022 pour emp\u00eacher que le Covid-19\u00a0n’engorge les h\u00f4pitaux\u00a0des Etats-Unis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ces projections publi\u00e9es dans la revue Science mardi contredisent directement les projections de la Maison Blanche d’un Coronavirus \u00e0 la fin de l’\u00e9t\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L’\u00e9quipe de scientifiques a mod\u00e9lis\u00e9 la pand\u00e9mie de Covid-19, la maladie caus\u00e9e par le virus, en partant de l’hypoth\u00e8se qu’elle serait saisonni\u00e8re comme d’autres virus de la m\u00eame famille, dont des coronavirus responsables du rhume, plus virulents en hiver.\u00a0Leur simulation a d\u00fb s’accommoder de nombreuses inconnues sur le nouveau-venu, baptis\u00e9 SARS-CoV-2, notamment en ce qui concerne le niveau et la dur\u00e9e de l’immunit\u00e9 acquise par une personne contamin\u00e9e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \u00ab\u00a0La distance intermittente peut \u00eatre n\u00e9cessaire en 2022 \u00e0 moins que la capacit\u00e9 de soins intensifs ne soit consid\u00e9rablement augment\u00e9e ou qu’un traitement ou un vaccin ne soit disponible\u00a0\u00bb, \u00e9crit la Harvard School of Public Health dans son rapport.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00ab\u00a0M\u00eame en cas d’\u00e9limination apparente, la surveillance du SRAS-CoV-2 devrait \u00eatre maintenue car une r\u00e9surgence de la contagion pourrait \u00eatre possible jusqu’en 2024.\u00a0\u00bb<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Les recherches des \u00e9quipes de Harvard indiquent \u00e9galement que le virus r\u00e9appara\u00eetrait assez rapidement une fois les restrictions lev\u00e9es. L’on ne sait encore si les gens deviennent immunis\u00e9s contre le nouveau coronavirus apr\u00e8s avoir \u00e9t\u00e9 infect\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00ab Si la distance intermittente est l’approche choisie, il peut \u00eatre n\u00e9cessaire de le faire pendant plusieurs ann\u00e9es, ce qui est \u00e9videmment tr\u00e8s long \u00bb, explique le Dr Marc Lipsitch, auteur de l’\u00e9tude et professeur d’\u00e9pid\u00e9miologie \u00e0 la Harvard School of Public aux journalistes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00a0\u00bb La distanciation sociale est l’une des armes les plus puissantes contre COVID-19, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 Robert Redfield, directeur des Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
\n\u00ab\u00a0Si nous pouvons simplement maximiser cette distance sociale, nous pouvons limiter la capacit\u00e9 de ce virus\u00a0\u00bb.
\n 
\nSelon un rapport de CNN sur les conclusions des chercheurs:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00a0\u00bb Les d\u00e9fis potentiels comprennent la recherche d’un test fiable pour d\u00e9terminer qui a des anticorps contre le coronavirus, l’\u00e9tablissement du niveau d’immunit\u00e9 conf\u00e9r\u00e9 par l’infection pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente et sa dur\u00e9e, et la capacit\u00e9 des syst\u00e8mes de sant\u00e9 surcharg\u00e9s de mener des tests d’anticorps fiables et r\u00e9pandus dans la population g\u00e9n\u00e9rale\u00a0\u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Les chercheurs de l’\u00e9tude affirment qu’ils sont conscients qu’une telle distance prolong\u00e9e, m\u00eame si elle est intermittente, aurait probablement \u00ab\u00a0des cons\u00e9quences \u00e9conomiques, sociales et \u00e9ducatives profond\u00e9ment n\u00e9gatives\u00a0\u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ils esp\u00e8rent que leurs recherches aideront \u00e0 identifier les trajectoires probables de l’\u00e9pid\u00e9mie dans le cadre d’approches alternatives, \u00e0 identifier des moyens compl\u00e9mentaires de la combattre et \u00e0 stimuler la r\u00e9flexion sur les moyens de ma\u00eetriser la pand\u00e9mie. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Selon une nouvelle projection de chercheurs du Harvard T.H., l’\u00e9cole de sant\u00e9 publique de Chan, aux \u00c9tats-Unis, on devra peut-\u00eatre maintenir les ordonnances de confinement, les fermetures de stades et de centres d’\u00e9v\u00e9nements et les fermetures d’\u00e9coles jusqu’en 2022, sauf si un vaccin contre le coronavirus est rapidement disponible. Dans une \u00e9tude\u00a0publi\u00e9e le 14 avril\u00a0par …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":37,"featured_media":199691,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[167803],"tags":[161068,171700,1987,2370],"class_list":["post-199688","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coronavirus","tag-coronavirus","tag-distanciation-sociale","tag-scientifiques","tag-vaccin"],"yoast_head":"\nCovid-19: la distanciation sociale pourrait s'\u00e9tendre jusqu'en 2022<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"on devra peut-\u00eatre maintenir les ordonnances de confinement, les fermetures de stades et de centres d'\u00e9v\u00e9nements et les fermetures d'\u00e9coles jusqu'en 2022\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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